So how bad will this Trump thing get? Will his supporters ever tire of his incessant lies, nonstop crime, incompetent international relations, and slavish devotion to Vladimir Putin?
To answer this question, I turned to the Crazification Factor, a blog post from back in 2005 by screenwriter (and former standup comedian) John Rogers. In reaction to Bush’s inept War on Terror (that now looks like a marvel of planning and efficiency – ah, hindsight!), Rogers said that his friend Tyrone postulated that 27% of the population was crazy.
Tyrone’s example was the Illinois election of Barack Obama vs. Alan Keyes. In his words:
“Keyes was from out of state, so you can eliminate any established political base; both candidates were black, so you can factor out racism; and Keyes was plainly, obviously, completely crazy. Batshit crazy. Head-trauma crazy. But 27% of the population of Illinois voted for him. They put party identification, personal prejudice, whatever ahead of rational judgement. Hell, even like 5% of Democrats voted for him. That’s crazy behaviour. I think you have to assume a 27% Crazification Factor in any population.”
I read the blog post back then, and it’s stuck with me through all the intervening years. Mostly because it makes sense of so many things! Others clearly felt the same way. The Crazification Factor has its own entry at RationalWiki, and the site offers further evidence to bolster the theory.
The 2018 congressional elections in Illinois’ 3rd district pitted Neo-Nazi and Holocaust denier Arthur Jones (Republican, because, duh) against Democratic candidate Dan Lipinski. Even Senator Ted Cruz suggested that voters choose Lipinski. We all know how progressive Ted Cruz is. However, Jones, who, I cannot emphasize enough, is an actual fucking Nazi, got over 25% of the vote.
So, back to my original question. Will Trump’s supporters ever tire of his bullshit and corruption? The Crazification Factor says at least 27% of them absolutely will not.